<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Fihel, Agnieszka</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Janicka, Anna</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Okólski, Marek</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Predicting a Migration Transition in Poland and its Implications for Population Ageing</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Central and Eastern European Migration Review</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">demographic transition</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">international migration</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">migration projection</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">migration transition</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Poland</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">population ageing</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2023</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">12</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">265-292</style></pages><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p style=&quot;text-align: justify;&quot;&gt;Poland, traditionally a country of emigration, started to record a positive migration balance in recent years, but so far no forecast has indicated the possibility of Poland&amp;rsquo;s transition from a net sending to a net receiving regime. This study aims at indicating the theoretical underpinnings of such a change and providing an international migration projection. To this end, we refer to historical experiences of other European countries, more advanced in terms of the Demographic Transition (DT), Second Demographic Transition (SDT) and Migration Transition. We develop a deterministic migration projection of four types of flows (in- and out-migration of nationals and foreign citizens) till 2060, combined with the United Nations&amp;rsquo; Bayesian probabilistic models of fertility and mortality projections. The results show that Poland will evolve from a net sending into a net receiving status around 2030&amp;ndash;2034. The combined effect of migration flows on population ageing will not be significant but in the long run, when considered separately, the four types of flows will have non-negligible, though opposite effects: outflows will contribute to population rejuvenation, while inflows will accelerate population ageing.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></issue><custom2><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;15 September 2022&lt;/p&gt;</style></custom2><custom3><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;17 May 2023&lt;/p&gt;</style></custom3><custom4><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;30 June 2023&lt;/p&gt;</style></custom4></record></records></xml>